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December Quants
by Graham Young Friday, 17 February 2012 06:00
According to this poll of our virtual focus group things have deteriorated for Julia Gillard since last June. (The virtual focus group is a subset of our total pool of respondents and is weighted to reflect Newspoll's estimate of the strength of the various political party first preference votes).
Liberal and Labor votes stagnate
by Graham Young Tuesday, 07 February 2012 11:13
Our first preference index for Labor, Liberal and Greens shows Labor and Liberal back to where they were in June last year. Not quite what the latest Nielsen shows, but in line with Newspoll. All this might be explained by error margin, or when the polls were taken (ours actually dates from late last year).
Problems with brand Labor
by Graham Young Tuesday, 07 February 2012 10:08
There were signs at the end of last year that the major parties were moving into a different phase of their struggle for power.
Queensland election preview on ABC radio
by Graham Young Friday, 20 January 2012 22:46
I did an interview yesterday with Steve Austin on ABC Radio yesterday on the coming Queensland State Election (which will probably be announced on Tuesday next week, but time will tell).
Queensland qual
by Graham Young Monday, 16 January 2012 12:02
An interesting feature of this state election is the way that some rural Queenslanders have allied themselves with the urban Greens voters. This is not likely to be a long term alliance.
Polls in the News
ANZ Job Ads September 2011
by Graham Young Monday, 10 October 2011 01:17
The ANZ Job Ads Index for September shows a decline month-on-month and a deceleration in growth year on year. If you're wondering how this could be, it means that year-on-year only looks good because of the growth in the earlier part of the year.
A more likely Katter figure
by Graham Young Wednesday, 07 September 2011 05:07
"Win over Ashgrove voters? Can Do" according the the Brisbane Times and a poll by ReachTEL, meaning that Campbell Newman is likely to win Ashgrove with a substantial margin.
Polling question concocted to show Katter on 25%
by Graham Young Tuesday, 06 September 2011 21:12
A Galaxy poll reported in The Courier Mail yesterday said that Bob Katter's Australian Party could possibly score 25% of the vote at the next state election. The question is poorly worded and the result almost certainly wrong.
Home loan arrears
by Graham Young Saturday, 02 July 2011 22:25
My colleague John Black has done some interesting analysis of home loan arrears which could go some way to explaining why Labor is in trouble in Queensland more than most other states - because it picks Queensland as a home arrears hotspot.
Federal leaders strongly supported for positions - A C Nielsen
by Graham Young Monday, 18 April 2011 10:12
The latest AC Nielsen poll shows Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott are both quite safe, at least from a polling point of view, as leaders of their respective parties. You could be pardoned for not knowing this, as the media has been reporting the opposite.
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